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Death at a Distance: The U.S. Air War

Conn Hallinan | August 30, 2007

Editor: Miriam Pemberton

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According to the residents of Datta Khel, a town in Pakistan's North Waziristan, three missiles streaked out of Afghanistan's Pakitka Province and slammed into a Madrassa, or Islamic school, this past June. When the smoke cleared, the Asia Times reported, 30 people were dead.

The killers were robots, General Atomics MQ-1 Predators. The AGM-114 Hellfire missiles they used in the attack were directed from a base deep in the southern Nevada desert.

It was not the first time Predators had struck. The previous year a CIA Predator took a shot at al-Qaeda's number two man, Ayman al-Zawahiri, but missed. The missile, however, killed 18 people. According to the Asia Times piece, at least one other suspected al-Qaeda member was assassinated by a Predator in Pakistan's northern frontier area, and in 2002 a Predator killed six "suspected al-Qaeda" members in Yemen.

These assaults are part of what may be the best kept secret of the Iraq-Afghanistan conflicts: an enormous intensification of US bombardments in these and other countries in the region, the increasing number of civilian casualties such a strategy entails, and the growing role of pilot-less killers in the conflict.

According to Associated Press, there has been a five-fold increase in the number of bombs dropped on Iraq during the first six months of 2007 over the same period in 2006. More than 30 tons of those have been cluster weapons, which take an especially heavy toll on civilians.

The U.S. Navy has added an aircraft carrier to its Persian Gulf force, and the Air Force has moved F-16s into Balad air base north of Baghdad.

Balad, which currently conducts 10,000 air operations a week, is strengthening runways to handle the increase in air activity. Col. David Reynolds told the AP, "We would like to get to be a field like Langley, if you will." The Langley field in Virginia is one of the Air Force's biggest and most sophisticated airfields.

The Air Force certainly appears to be settling in for a long war. "Until we can determine that the Iraqis have got their air force to significant capability," says Lt Gen. Gary North, the regional air commander, "I think the coalition will be here to support that effort."

The Iraqi air force is virtually non-existent. It has no combat aircraft and only a handful of transports.

Improving the runways has allowed the Air Force to move B1-B bombers from Diego Garcia in the Indian Ocean to Balad, where the big aircraft have been carrying out daily strikes. A B1-B can carry up to 24 tons of bombs.

The step-up in air attacks is partly a reflection of how beaten up and overextended U.S. ground troops are. While Army units put in 15-month tours, Air Force deployments are only four months, with some only half that. And Iraqi and Afghani insurgents have virtually no ability to inflict casualties on aircraft flying at 20,000 feet and using laser and satellite-guided weapons, in contrast to the serious damage they are doing to US ground troops.

Besides increasing the number of F-16s, B1-Bs, and A-10 attack planes, Predator flight hours over both countries have doubled from 2005. "The Predator is coming into its own as a no-kidding weapon verses a reconnaissance-only platform," brags Maj. Jon Dagley, commander of the 46th Expeditionary Reconnaissance Squadron.

The Air Force is also deploying a bigger, faster and more muscular version of the Predator, the MQ-9 "Reaper" — as in grim — a robot capable of carrying four Hellfire missiles, plus two 500 lb. bombs.

The Predators and the Reapers have several advantages, the most obvious being they don't need pilots. "With more Reapers I could send manned airplanes home," says North.

At $8.5 million an aircraft — the smaller Predator comes in at $4.5 million apiece — they are also considerably cheaper than the F-16 ($19 million) the B1-B ($200+ million) and even the A-10 ($9.8 million).

The Air Force plans to deploy 170 Predators and 70 Reapers over the next three years. "It is possible that in our lifetime we will be able to run a war without ever leaving the US," Lt Col David Branham told the New York Times.

The result of the stepped up air war, according to the London-based organization Iraq Body Count, is an increase in civilian casualties. A Lancet study of "excess deaths" caused by the Iraq war found that air attacks were responsible for 13% of the deaths — 76,000 as of June 2006 — and that 50% of the deaths of children under 15 were caused by air strikes.

The number of civilian deaths in Afghanistan from air strikes has created a rift between the North Atlantic Treaty Organization and the United States.

"A senior British commander," according to the New York Times, has pressed U.S. Special Forces (SF) to leave southern Afghanistan because their use of air power was alienating the local people. SFs work in small teams and are dependent on air power for support.

SFs called in an air strike last November near Kandahar that killed 31 nomads. This past April, a similar air strike in Western Afghanistan killed 57 villagers, half of them women and children. Coalition forces are now killing more Afghan civilians than the Taliban are. The escalating death toll has thrown the government of Hamid Karzai into a crisis and the NATO governments into turmoil. "We need to understand that preventing civilian casualties is crucially important in sustaining the support of the population," British Defense Minister Des Browne told the Financial Times.

It has also opened up the allies to the charge of war crimes. In a recent air attack in southern Afghanistan that killed 25 civilians, NATO spokesman Lt. Col Mike Smith said the Taliban were responsible because they were hiding among the civilian population.

But Article 48 of the Geneva Conventions clearly states: "The Parties to the conflict shall at all times distinguish between the civilian population and combatants."  Article 50 dictates that "The presence within the civilian population of individuals who do not come within the definition of civilian does not deprive the population of its civilian character." 

The stepped-up air war in both countries has less to do with a strategic military decision than the reality that the occupations are coming apart at the seams.

For all intents and purposes, the U.S. Army in Iraq is broken, the victim of multiple tours, inadequate forces, and the kind of war Iraq has become: a conflict of shadows, low-tech but highly effective roadside bombs, and a population which is either hostile to the occupation or at least sympathetic to the resistance.

It is much the same in Afghanistan. Lord Inge, the former British chief of staff, recently said, "The situation in Afghanistan is much worse than many people recognize…it is much more serious that people want to recognize." A well-placed military source told the Observer, "If you talk privately to the generals, they are very worried." Faced with defeat or bloody stalemate on the ground, the allies have turned to air power, much as the U.S. did in Vietnam. But, as in Vietnam, the terrible toll bombing inflicts on civilians all but guarantees long-term failure.

"Far from bringing about the intended softening up of the opposition," Phillip Gordon, a Brookings Institute Fellow, told the Asia Times, "bombing tends to rally people behind their leaders and cause them to dig in against outsiders who, whatever the justification, are destroying their homeland.”

Conn Hallinan is a Foreign Policy In Focus columnist.

 

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Published by Foreign Policy In Focus (FPIF), a project of the Institute for Policy Studies (IPS, online at www.ips-dc.org). Copyright © 2008, Institute for Policy Studies.

Recommended citation:
Conn Hallinan, "Death at a Distance: The U.S. Air War," (Washington, DC: Foreign Policy In Focus, August 30, 2007).

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Production Information:
Author(s): Conn Hallinan
Editor(s): Miriam Pemberton
Production: Saif Rahman

Latest Comments & Conversation Area
Editor's Note: FPIF.org editors read and approve each comment. Comments are checked for content only; spelling and grammar errors are not corrected and comments that include vulgar language or libelous content are rejected.
 
Name editor Date: Sep 01, 2007
the designation for the "B1-B" aircraft is actually written: B-1B (as in, B-1 bomber aircraft, 'B' model designation .... B-1A, B-1B ... F-16A, F-16B, F-16C, etc.) http://fas.org/nuke/guide/usa/bomber/b-1b.htm
Name de teodoru Date: Sep 04, 2007
Under-Sec. of Defense Feith for "dirty tricks" operated as the neocon point man in the Defense Dept. But his channel of authority short-circuited SecDef Rumsfeld. Bremer, the presidential Proconsul in Baghdad received an order in writing from Feith to dissolve the Iraqi armed forces and civil service. The motive was to totally fragment Iraq so that it might never again be a threat to Israel or Saudi Arabia. In this, however, Israel was not consulted; in fact, Sharon advised against such decomposition; he worried that too deep a de-Ba'athification might leave Iraq short of technical bureaucrats and in chaos. But it is rather the first generation neocons wedded to old Stalinist notion of conquest that urged the memo on Feith, knowing that his enthusiasm far outstripped his judgment. Presented with a fait accompli, SecDef Rumsfeld, who was then counting on the neocons to make him president in future elections, simply endorsed the Feith memo. As a result, we are left with a strange quandary in Robert Draper's new book DEAD CERTAIN: Bush cannot account for that decision for he thought that the civil service and army would simply be sworn over to the new post-liberation regime.

The DoD Inspector General charges against Feith have yet to broaden to where he stands as the first official nexus for the momentous decision that resulted in the current hopeless insurgency that is pinning down the US armed forces. This will be the first tear in the Bush cover-up for his absentee presidency and exposure of the low unauthorized levels at which life and death decisions were made. This is only the beginning of the exposure of neocon usurpation of the Bush presidency in the first term. I can only hope that no one will associate this cabal with the Jewish-American community which, as a whole deeply opposed the neocon machinations.

Daniel E. Teodoru

Name de teodoru Date: Sep 04, 2007
Americans have a knack for psychoanalyzing their enemies. There are few histories of WW II or biographies of Hitler that do not go into his alleged psychopathology without ever having met him. But American Presidents are examined more in rationalist terms of: "what were they thinking?"

GW Bush, for example, seems devoid of any empathy for the stress physiology imposed on American troops in Iraq-- most being mothers and fathers-- as a result of having been sent to Iraq, all intelligence blind, language deaf and culture dumb. PBS showed a segment recently covering a unit that lost seven troopers in an armored SUV to an IED, killed an innocent taxi driver and had to stand helpless as a large number of women and children were plummeted by shrapnel from a bomb, all in one day. One soldier said that in six hours on and four off they cannot rest, the adrenaline rush never stops. Another complained that they were supposed to go home in six days but were extended to 15 months. He offered to re-up for another 15 months, at no pay, if only Bush would serve at his side. But Bush won't serve now as he avoided doing during the Vietnam War. He is a totally political animal convinced that if in the end he captures Iraq's oil for US Companies by imposing the the PSA law on the Maliki Government, making the refilling of our SUV at $1.50 a gallon possible, all the needless incompetent loses in blood and treasure will be forgiven and forgotten.

But there's a new kink in his persistence strategy. There are no troops left for continuing the surge after April 2008. What Bush thinks he has a lot left to use are planes and ships and missiles. So what he plans to do is a 21,000 air sorties attack on Iran to devastate its entire armed forces-- never mind just its nuclear plants-- before he is forced to pull back US troops from Iraq. The reason for this is that while his foreign policy in term #1 was in the service of the neocons, term #2 is in service of the Saudis who fear Iran's growing power. They will build his library as they did his dad's and they will fund his lavish Crawford Texas life as an ex-President.

One can only wonder if the legacy of this administration will be, not only one of war criminality in its policies, but one of total moral depravity attributable to the same psychiatric disorders often attributed to the world's most infamous aggressors.

Daniel E. Teodoru

Name David Smith Date: Sep 15, 2007
The U.S. Air War is a just a little bit of history repeating. Consider the British Air War in Mesopotamia in the 1920's:

Financially drained by the Great War, the British were under strong pressures to reduce the cost of administering their newly acquired mandates in Iraq and Palestine. Consequently, in the early 1920s, the post-war governments of Lloyd George, and later Law and Baldwin, became quite receptive to the newly independent Royal Air Force’s proposal to substitute relatively inexpensive air power for ground troops. The proposal was championed enthusiastically by Winston Churchill, who, in the five years after World War I, serendipitously held the offices secretary of state for war, colonies and air, and chancellor of the exchequer.

Imperial Britain’s way of dealing with colonial rebellion traditionally involved sending a detachment of troops to the affected area on punitive expeditions with orders to “teach the blighters a lesson” by killing or capturing the offending ringleaders and generally shooting up the place so as to discourage the population from further transgressions against British authority. Such expeditions took time, often lacked the element of surprise and were costly in terms of men and materiel. Consequently, the use of airplanes for such disciplinary forays seemed ideal, inasmuch as air strikes could be delivered swiftly with maximum surprise and minimal expenditure of British blood and treasure. Moreover, Arab tribal warlords, who gained political clout from standing up to the British on the field of battle, had no counter against airplanes. Accordingly, after demonstrating the effectiveness in putting down a minor rebellion in British Somaliland in 1919-20, Air Marshall Hugh Trenchard, RAF chief of staff proposed that the RAF be given full responsibility for conducting military operations in Iraq. In October 1922, the RAF was given the job, initially implemented with eight squadrons of fighters and light bombers, such as DH-9s, accompanied by major reductions in the garrison troop strength, much to the delight of the British taxpayer.

Initially the RAF flew punitive sorties, dropping bombs on offending Arab villagers without notice, killing women and children indiscriminately, presumably along with instigators of the revolt. "The attack with bombs and machineguns must be relentless and unremitting and carried on continuously by day and night, on houses, inhabitants, crops and cattle," Wing-Commander J. A. Chamier wrote at the time, foreshadowing “shock and awe” some eight decades later. From 7,000 feet and without modern navigational aids, to a pilot, one desert village looked pretty much like another, so there were instances of friendly villages being bombed by mistake. The British also borrowed a page from the battlefields of Europe, and, with Mr. Churchill’s blessing, became the first country to launch full-scale aerial mustard gas bombardments on men, women and children. “We shouldn’t be stopped by the prejudices of those who don’t think clearly,” he said. “I am strongly in favour of using poisoned gas against uncivilized tribes.” -- in the “Cradle of Civilization,” no less.

As reports of such incidents began filtering into the British press, the public outcry against “inhumane warfare” (“collateral damage” had yet to be coined) prompted a shift in tactics. Thereafter, offending villages were warned of impending punitive bombardments, giving the villagers time to evacuate.

The British military tried to make it look as if airplanes had virtually replaced troops on the ground. But in practice, punitive sorties were usually combined operations, in which ground and air forces mounted coordinated attacks. Consequently, punishment from the air came to consist almost entirely of loss of relatively low-value property with the intent of disrupting daily life. The more consequential punishment was administered on the ground by British (primarily Indian) troops. Nevertheless, in the 1920s, air power came of age as an accepted instrument of political control in the outer reaches of the British Empire. Britain remained in Iraq until 1932, withdrawing when the mandate was terminated and Iraq became an independent member of the League of Nations. However, Britain retained a strong presence in Iraq until tensions exploded in 1958.

(Excerpt from David L. Smith's Cassandra Chronicle, April 2004: "Dust to Dust in the Garden of Eden," April 2004. For a copy, contact davidlsmith@iname.com)

Name Sarah Meyer, Index Research Date: Sep 16, 2007
I am shocked to read, in a respected journal like FPIF, the quotations from (State Department?) Iraq Body Count, which have long been discredited. I do hope that Conn Hallinan has read the newest ORB report suggesting a more realistic total of 1,200,580 Iraqi deaths as a result of violence since 2003. This makes the Lancet report of a year ago seem quite acceptable, does it not?
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