Foreign Policy in Focus - A Think Tank Without Walls
Foreign Policy In Focus

FPIF Commentary

The Failure of Annapolis

Stephen Zunes | December 3, 2007

Editor: Emily Schwartz Greco

Email this page to a friend

Comment on this article

Foreign Policy In Focus

Despite the best efforts by the Bush administration of putting a positive spin on the recently-completed summit in Annapolis to restart the “Performance-Based Road Map to Peace,” there is little reason to expect that it will actually move the Israeli-Palestinian peace process forward as long as the United States insists on simultaneously playing the role of chief mediator and chief supporter of the more powerful of the two parties.

Though the Road Map was originally put together in 2002 as an international effort – with the United Nations, Russia and the European Union (which take a more balanced approach to the conflict) on equal footing with the United States – it’s the United States alone that is now in charge of monitoring the process. According to text of the Annapolis agreement, “implementation of the future peace treaty will be subject to the implementation of the road map, as judged by the United States” (emphasis added).

President George W. Bush added that “The parties further commit to continue the implementation of the ongoing obligations of the road map until they reach a peace treaty” and “The United States will monitor and judge the fulfillment of the commitment of both sides of the road map.”

Alarms Raised

Given that the United States has consistently sided with Israel, the occupying power, throughout the peace process in its disputes with the Palestinians, it gives little hope that Palestinian concerns will be adequately addressed. This has raised alarms among international observers, such as Saudi Foreign minister Saud al-Faisal, who stressed that it was “absolutely necessary to establish an international follow-up mechanism that monitors progress in the negotiations among the parties, as well as the implementation of commitments made” (emphasis added).

Phase I of the original Road Map included 24 points that were required of the Israeli government and the Palestinian Authority, including an end to Palestinian violence, Palestinian political reform (including free elections), Israeli withdrawal from Palestinian Authority areas re-conquered since 2001, and a freeze on the expansion of Israeli settlements in the occupied territories. Even though the document made clear that these were to be pursued simultaneously and in parallel to each other, the United States has accepted Israel’s interpretation that Israel was not required to address any of its obligations under Phase I until the Palestinians had first completely lived up to all of its obligations under Phase I.

In other words, unless or until the weakened and isolated Palestine Authority could somehow prevent every Palestinian with access to guns, explosives or rockets from attacking any Israelis, the government of Israel was under no obligation to pursue any of its responsibilities under the Road Map.

Furthermore, through a series of presidential statements, exchanges of letters and congressional resolutions, the United States has already gone on record supporting the Israeli position on most of the outstanding issues. Examples include refusing to acknowledge the right of return of Palestinian refugees, accepting Israeli annexation of greater East Jerusalem, not requiring Israel to completely withdraw from territories seized in the 1967 War, and allowing Israel to maintain large settlement blocs on the occupied West Bank.

Limited Leverage

With Israel’s extraordinary military superiority over any combination of Arab forces ruling out a military option and with the United States blocking the United Nations from placing sanctions on Israel, the only leverage the Arab states currently have is to withhold diplomatic and economic relations from Israel until Israel withdraws from the occupied territories. As a result, those wishing to enable Israel to successfully annex the occupied territories have been pushing the Arab states to unilaterally end their economic boycott and recognize Israel without Israel being obliged to end its occupation and colonization of the West Bank and the Golan Heights.

Just prior to the Annapolis conference, a letter to Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice, drafted by Democratic Senator Charles Schumer of New York and Republican Senator Lindsey Graham of South Carolina, insisted that success of the Annapolis conference would be based not on Israeli willingness to live up to its international legal obligations but “on the cooperation we receive from the larger Arab world.” The letter insisted that Arab states wishing to attend the conference should unilaterally “recognize Israel’s right to exist and not use such recognition and as bargaining chip for future Israel concessions” and “end the Arab League economic boycott of Israel in all its forms.” The letter made no mention of the establishment of a Palestinian state, and end to the Israeli occupation, the withdrawal of illegal Israeli settlements, or any other Israeli obligations. As Jim Zogby of the moderate nonpartisan Arab American Institute put it, “if the goal is for Arab states not to participate in the upcoming conference, this would be the way to go.”

The letter was signed by 79 Senators, including presidential hopefuls Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama, Christopher Dodd and Joseph Biden.

Special Bond

Fortunately, the Bush administration resisted this effort to sabotage the conference by refusing to establish such pre-conditions, yet once again the United States appears to be putting the onus of responsibility on those under foreign military occupation and their allies rather than the occupiers themselves. Given that the Palestinians have already given up 78% of historic Palestine in the 1993 Oslo Accords, Israeli and U.S. demands that they give up even more of their homeland will indeed be hard for the Palestinians to accept.

This bias toward the occupying power was evident in Bush’s speech in Annapolis, in which he reiterated the U.S. contention that the Palestinian Authority, whose areas of control are confined to series of tiny impoverished cantons surrounded by Israeli occupation forces, must take the lead. Despite these unfavorable conditions, Bush insisted that prior to the final status issues being addressed, the Palestinian Authority must first “accept its responsibility, and have the capability to be a source of stability and peace – for its own citizens, for the people of Israel, and for the whole region.”

By contrast, in the same speech, President Bush simply called on Israel to “remove unauthorized outposts” and “end settlement expansion,” not to withdraw from the much larger and more problematic settlements which have been authorized by the Israeli government despite that all Israelis settlements have been deemed illegal under the Fourth Geneva Convention by four UN Security Council resolutions and a ruling by the International Court of Justice. Nor is there any mention of any other Israeli responsibilities under international law as specified by other outstanding UN Security Council resolutions, such as withdrawing from occupied Palestinian territory seized in the 1967 War, rescinding the annexation of greater East Jerusalem, or taking responsibility for a just resolution of the Palestinian refugee situation.

Rejecting Amnesty’s Calls

The Bush administration also ignored calls by Amnesty International that the conference establish measurable benchmarks requiring both Israelis and Palestinians “to halt and redress the grave human rights abuses and serious violations of international humanitarian law that continue to destroy lives on both sides.” The United States continues to reject calls by Amnesty International and others to allow for the deployment of international human rights monitors and to live up to its responsibilities as a signatory of the Fourth Geneva Conventions and other international human rights treaties to use its influence to enforce international humanitarian law. The Bush administration has strongly backed calls by Amnesty and others that radical Palestinian groups end their attacks on Israeli civilians, but has refused to support similar calls that the Israeli armed forces end their attacks on Palestinian civilians.

Nor has the Bush administration acceded to calls by Amnesty and others to pressure Israel to release the thousands of Palestinian political prisoners not charged with terrorist offenses who are currently jailed, to end its demolitions of Palestinian homes, to end the blockade of humanitarian supplies to the Gaza Strip, and to honor its prior commitment to remove some of the 560 military checkpoints and blockades which prevent the movement of people and goods within the West Bank.

Despite the belated U.S. support for the establishment of a Palestinian state alongside Israel, the bipartisan U.S. refusal to take seriously human rights and international law in addressing the Israeli-Palestinian conflict will make the emergence of a viable Palestinian state impossible and doom the peace process. For the reality is that Israeli security and Palestinian rights are not mutually exclusive, but mutually dependent upon the other. Until the United States recognizes that reality, there is no hope for peace.

Stephen Zunes, the Middle East editor for Foreign Policy In Focus, is a professor of politics at the University of San Francisco and the author of Tinderbox: U.S. Middle East Policy and the Roots of Terrorism (Common Courage Press, 2003).

 

Subscribe to
World Beat

FPIF's weekly ezine


Support FPIF
Please donate your economic stimulus rebate to a progressive future.


Published by Foreign Policy In Focus (FPIF), a project of the Institute for Policy Studies (IPS, online at www.ips-dc.org). Copyright © 2008, Institute for Policy Studies.

Recommended citation:
Stephen Zunes, "The Failure of Annapolis," (Washington, DC: Foreign Policy In Focus, December 3, 2007).

Web location:
http://fpif.org/fpiftxt/4787

Production Information:
Author(s): Stephen Zunes
Editor(s): Emily Schwartz Greco
Production: Saif Rahman

Latest Comments & Conversation Area
Editor's Note: FPIF.org editors read and approve each comment. Comments are checked for content only; spelling and grammar errors are not corrected and comments that include vulgar language or libelous content are rejected.
 
Name Elie Elhadj - London Date: Dec 06, 2007
For Annapolis to succeed, the Bible and the Quran must be de-politicized. A single state for Arabs and Jews in Palestine is the durable long-term solution. The Zionist dream of creating an exclusive state for the Jewish people in Palestine is unsustainable in the long-term. Israel's demographics present the central challenge to the Zionist dream. Presently, more than 1.3 million Palestinians are citizens of Israel, or 25 percent of Israel's 5.2 million Jews. Due to their high population growth rates the Palestinian-Israelis will eventually become the majority. The Palestinian-Israelis are in addition to the 4.2 million Palestinians who live under Israel's occupation in the Gaza Strip and the West Bank. Outside Palestine, 2.6 millions are registered in refugee camps in Jordan, Lebanon, and Syria, plus 1.5 million scattered worldwide.

Unless the Palestinian-Israelis somehow vanish, Israel's Jewish population will eventually become the minority and the Palestinian-Israelis the majority; the population growth rate of the Palestinian-Israelis is twice that of Israeli Jews. To demonstrate the significance of the demographic issue, the number of Palestinians in Israel in 1948 was about 150,000. Within three generations the Palestinian Israelis increased eight folds to more than 1.3 millions.

If Israel would allow the future Palestinian-Israeli majority full citizenship rights, they’ll control the government. If Israel subjects the majority to an apartheid regime, the system will unravel. Apartheid regimes have short lives: Witness Rhodesia and South Africa. For centuries, hundreds of thousands of Jews lived harmoniously among Muslims in Algeria, Egypt, Iran, Iraq, Lebanon, Libya, Morocco, Syria, Tunisia, and Yemen.

Around the time of Israel’s creation, more than 850,000 Jews migrated from Arab countries, 600,000 going to Israel. The charge that the Jews migrated because of Arab maltreatment is an unfair political expediency. The migration happened in the course of Israel’s creation. During this period, 531 Palestinian villages were depopulated and 805,000 refugees lost their homes, according to Palestinian sources (650,000 to 700,000 refugees, according to Jewish sources).

Feeling powerless, the Arab masses took refuge in Islam, invoking hostile Quranic Verses, recounting purported stories of the Prophet Muhammad’s troubled relationship with the Jewish tribes in Medina, drawing lessons from the symbolism of substituting Friday for the Sabbath and the direction during prayer from Jerusalem to Mecca. For thirteen centuries, however, these were non-issues.

Had Zionism adhered to the stipulation in the 1917 Balfour declaration: “Nothing shall be done which may prejudice the civil and religious rights of existing non-Jewish communities in Palestine,” the Muslim/Jewish conflict would not have developed.

Politicizing the Bible’s Genesis 15:18: “The Lord made a covenant with Abraham, saying, unto thy seed have I given this land from the river of Egypt unto the great river, the river Euphrates” created a vexing religious confrontation, pushing frustrated moderate Arab Muslims into orthodoxy and the orthodox into Islamism and Jihadism.

The victory of Hamas in the January 25, 2006 parliamentary elections in the West Bank and the Gaza Strip, as well as the popularity of Islamic Jihad, must serve as sobering reminders that this conflict has been delivering the Muslim masses into the hands of the Islamists.

Politicizing the Bible politicized the Quran. This war could go on for a thousand years. Military and police actions alone against the Jihadists will breed more Jihadists. Unless the Arab Israeli conflict is resolved justly and quickly, Islamism and Jihadism will multiply.

The Bible and the Quran must be de-politicized.

The two-state solution, currently in vogue, is inherently unstable. A single democratic and secular state for Jews and Palestinians promises a more durable long-term solution locally and regionally. The two-state solution is capricious for four reasons:

First, demographically, a purely Jewish state is impossible to attain.

Secondly, intractable issues stand in the way of a two-state solution: Jerusalem, borders, security for Israel and for Palestine, water rights, settlements, and the refugees’ right-of-return. Since the signing of the Oslo Agreement on September 13, 1993, none of the thorny issues has been resolved. When Bill Clinton, Ehud Barak, and Yasser Arafat attempted in July 2000 to tackle these issues at Camp David, the negotiations collapsed, leading to the second intifada.

Thirdly, even if a miracle patches up a two-state agreement, the extremists on both sides would undermine the agreement.

Fourthly, the Arab masses will shun a Zionist state. Judging from Israel’s peace treaties with Egypt (March 26, 1979) and Jordan (October 26, 1994), relations among the Egyptian and Jordanian masses and Israelis failed to develop beyond small diplomatic missions.

Western democratic and secular ideals and Jewish sense of justice should inspire a single, democratic, and secular state for Palestinians and Jews for three reasons:

First, the intractable obstacles that have bedeviled the two-state solution would disappear.

Secondly, a single state will commingle Palestinians and Jews into an inseparable mix, leading the Arab governments to recognize the new state. Muslims everywhere, Arabs especially, would no longer have an excuse to boycott their Jewish “cousins.” Economic, cultural, educational, and social interaction would follow. The two sides would quickly learn how much they could benefit from one another.

Thirdly, a single state solution would allow Arabs and Jews full access to the entirety of Palestine.

Durable peace and the long-term prosperity of the Jewish people in the Arab World require the genuine welcome of the Arab masses. Smart bombs and nuclear weapons cannot force Arab peoples’ acceptance of a Zionist Israel. The 600,000 Jews, who had lived in Arab countries for centuries and are today a major proportion of Israel’s Jewish population, could become a positive link with the Arab World. They share with the Arab peoples many customs, habits, values, food, music, dance, and, for the older generation, the Arabic language.

Whether it would be a good bargain to exchange a partial and declining Jewish exclusivity in an unstable two-state solution for a durable single state embracing Jews and Muslims is a question Israel’s Jewish people alone can answer.

In provoking the enmity of their age-old Muslim friends, Zionism has disserved the strategic interests of the Jewish people. In Christian Europe, by contrast, centuries of maltreatment of Jews culminated in the horrors of the Holocaust.

 
You may add a new comment here. It will not appear on this page until it has been approved by the moderator.
Your Name:
Comment:
 
Contact FPIF's webmaster with inquiries regarding the functionality of this website.
Copyright © 2008, Institute for Policy Studies.
 

Support FPIF
Please donate your economic stimulus rebate to a progressive future.

You Might Also Like:
 

Related Coverage of Human Rights Issues

John McCain and the International Republican Institute
Jun 27, 2008

Sharp Attack Unwarranted
Jun 27, 2008

Democracy Promotion Doublespeak
Apr 7, 2008

Related Mideast Coverage

Obama's Right Turn?
Jun 11, 2008

Lebanon Intrusion
Jun 10, 2008

Daley's Wrong on Iran Attack Resolution
May 24, 2008