After the invasions of Ukraine and Gaza, do borders still mean anything to powerful countries?
The Trouble with Taiwan
Wherever one stands on the independence vs. accommodation spectrum in Taiwan, everyone should agree that a U.S.-China war is in nobody’s interest.
Is War with China Inevitable?
Is a Chinese invasion of Taiwan imminent or is Washington in a tizzy over nothing?
The True Costs of War over Taiwan
Are we at the brink of war in the Pacific?
Will China Replace the U.S. — Or Will the Two Powers Stalemate?
China is beset by crises of growth, while the U.S. struggles with crises of decline. Could this create an opening for a more decentralized international system?
Extreme Events Are the New Normal, and Not Just in the Weather
From the war in Ukraine to the rise of far-right autocrats worldwide, extremism has become a part of everyday life.
Taiwan and the Virtues of Ambiguity
In her effort to change the status quo with Taiwan, Nancy Pelosi might get just the war that she wants to prevent.
Why Russia Fumbled in Ukraine, China Lost Its Way, and America Should Exercise Restraint
The three powers often misread the odds against them. With Russia and China reeling, the next danger is overreach by the United States.
Can We Avoid a War with China?
The cold war in the Taiwan Strait threatens to turn hot.
The Three Revolutions of the Chinese Communist Party
The Communist Party of China led three revolutions of world-historic significance in its short 100-year-history: national liberation, the “Cultural Revolution,” and China’s rapid capitalist transformation.